D+8 and Romney and Obama are in a statistical tie among hispanics.
Apparently the crosstabs got buried by our trusty mainstream media in this PPP poll that shows Obama leading Romney by 4 points in Florida.
Notably, the survey was conducted from Sept. 20 to 23, so it pre-dated the Univision broadcast of its Fast & Furious investigation and the first presidential debate in which Romney effectively illustrated for 70 million people in the course of 2 hours what we have been trying to explain for 6 years: Barack Obama is an amateur. Anyway, back to the poll:
Party ID breakdown is 44D/36R/20I. In other words, a D+8 sample.
Race: Even with a D+8 sample, the crosstab on race shows a negative 4 points for Obama’s approval by hispanics (48% to 52%), who give Romney a +3 favorability rating (50-47).
And the best part: even with a D+8 sample, hispanics go for Obama by only 2 points: 49% to 47%. According to Pew, Obama carried 57% of the hispanic vote in Florida in 2008.
This is the best result PPP could find for Obama in Florida, even though the poll questions were obviously designed to get a reaction to Romney’s 47% comment and the faux outrage over his tax returns.
Finally, this poll assumes a turnout of 69% white, 13% black, and 13% hispanic. Not sure what the breakdown was in 2008.