Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama in the district, 53 percent to 39 percent, with 9 percent undecided
What a shocker that this little gem didn’t make the headlines….
Roll Call had a story yesterday, Pennsylvania: GOP Poll Shows Tie in 12th District Race:
A new GOP poll shows a dead heat between Rep. Mark Critz (D) and attorney Keith Rothfus (R) in southwestern Pennsylvania.
The McLaughlin & Associates survey tested 400 likely general election voters in the 12th district from Sept. 19 to 20. The margin of error is 4.9 points.
The survey showed GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney leading President Barack Obama in the district, 53 percent to 39 percent, with 9 percent undecided.
What Roll Call fails to mention is that McCain won this district in 2008 by 0.2%, or 49%-49% tied with Obama. According to this likely voter poll, Romney has a 14% lead. And this poll used a +8 Dem turnout model. Here’s what Wikipedia says about the 12th District:
Pennsylvania’s 12th congressional district is represented by Congressman Mark Critz (D) after a special election was held on May 18, 2010 following the death of Democrat John Murtha. The district has a Cook Partisan Voting Index score of R+1. The district is notable as the only congressional district in the nation that voted for Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry in 2004 but went for Republican John McCain in 2008.
Located in southwestern Pennsylvania, the 12th District consists of all of Greene County, and parts of Allegheny, Armstrong, Cambria, Fayette, Indiana, Somerset, Washington, and Westmoreland Counties. A thoroughly unionized district, the 12th has historically been among the most Democratic areas of the state.