© 2012 TexasDarlin/TDBlog
UPDATE 11/8/2012: Rasmussen reports that 12% made up their minds during the final week.
Dear Governor Christie,
Here’s why you have no future in the Republican party:
Would Obama have won without you? Perhaps. But why did you bend over backwards (or should I say “lean FORWARD!”) to help? I see that you got defensive when asked that question Monday:
‘I said to him, “Listen, Mitt, if this storm hits the way I think it’s going to, I’m off the campaign trail from here to Election Day.”
Everyone understands that Hurricane Sandy has been an epic disaster for your state. As any decent governor would, you took charge of things in the storm’s wake and part of that duty is to get federal aid. Fair enough. A written statement expressing your thanks would have been appropriate. But you opted instead for an exuberant, slobbering display of public adoration for the President, gushing like a giddy teenager: “Barack called me three times, even at midnight during the hurricane! What a bi-partisan leader! He is such a great president for doing his job!” (I’m paraphrasing you here).
And you didn’t stop. There you were at every turn hailing Obama’s leadership. At some point I said to my husband, “What the Hell is he doing, trying to get Obama re-elected?” When I heard that Obama was heading to your state for a post-hurricane tour, I cringed, imagining the sympathetic pics of you two standing in an ankle-deep puddle surveying destroyed homes and comforting shaken residents. Worse, you showed up on the front page in a bear hug. Ugh.
When reporters implied that your actions might be hurting Gov. Romney and asked you whether Mitt would also be touring the hurricane damage, you snapped. “I don’t care about the campaign. My people are suffering and the President responded!” (Again, I’m paraphrasing).
That’s when something in my gut twisted. Now I’m a nobody. I’m just an ordinary woman living an ordinary life in a (thankfully) red state far away from New Jersey. But I’ve been observing campaigns as a hobby since 2007 and I can spot a political opportunist when one is doing a tap dance in front of my eyes. Surely you, Mr. Governor, as a seasoned and sophisticated elected official, knew that the President’s intention was to use you as a prop. You would know this because for the past four years he has failed to exhibit leadership in times of crisis (Exhibit One: going to bed then to Vegas during a terrorist attack that killed four diplomats in Benghazi). You would know this because he’s never shown the least interest in being bi-partisan (Exhibit Two: 3 days after his first election, Obama scoffed at outreach by minority Congressional leaders, declaring that “elections have consequences… and I won.”).
And you also knew, as a leading GOP supporter of Gov. Romney, that Obama desperately needed a boost as Hurricane Sandy was bearing down on the East coast. You knew that — eight days out from arguably the most consequential election in American history — Gov. Romney was beating Obama in the national polls by about five points. Yet when the President called asking for a
photo op televised tour, you eagerly obliged. The nation, meanwhile, noticed that Mayor Bloomberg refrained from politicizing Sandy, telling Obama in no uncertain terms that he needed to stay away so that officials could focus on relief and recovery.
By its giant nature, Hurricane Sandy dwarfed candidate coverage. As the challenger, Gov. Romney could only ride that out. Obama, on the other hand, greedily grabbed the opportunity to finally look presidential. Not only did you assist him, you choreographed the dance. It’s not apparent whether you acted out of naiveté and sheer emotion, or were driven by a much more machiavellian motive. I suspect the latter. But none of the possible explanations indicate leadership traits that we look for in a governor or president. Unfortunately you are no Mitt Romney.
Perhaps you were thinking of your own re-election bid next year, or your 2016 presidential aspirations. In any case, your behavior was treasonous not only to the GOP party on the eve of such a crucial election, but treasonous to your country. You helped deprive us of a true leader during a time of crisis.
As stated, certainly you could have expressed your appreciation quietly and moved on. You could have reserved the effusive compliments for Nov. 7th.
Now that the election is over, along with Obama’s use for you, I genuinely hope that the hurricane victims in New Jersey — your constituents — get whatever aid he promised. Based on information that the mainstream media have succeeded in burying, the assistance itself is catastrophic. Some are now saying that the governmental response is even worse than Katrina. Obama never has to campaign again so who do you think will be blamed for the failures? That would be you, sir. It’s getting crowded under the Obama bus, might be a tight squeeze for you, but I’m sure he’ll find room.
Mr. Governor: In boosting Obama for your own selfish reasons, you screwed the United States of America. And soon you will see that, in giving him a boost, you also benefited your foe Cory Booker. Your political career in New Jersey and nationally is over. May joblessness be less harsh for you than your 15 million unemployed fellow citizens. And may you find solace in the Democratic party.
T.D., Austin, Texas
I am voting against the party which thinks women vote with their “private parts.” I am voting against the party which allows The New Black Panthers to intimidate and bully people at the voting booth. I am voting against the party which encourages violence and vileness against its dissenters. I am voting against the party which has popularized race-baiting. I am voting against the party which holds secret talks with our enemies. I am voting against the party which denies the threat of Islamic terrorism. I am voting against the party which believes bigger central government is better. I am voting against the party which wants to take control of my health care decisions. I am voting against affirmative action at every level, including the presidency.
I am voting for Ambassador Christopher Stevens. I am voting for the Navy SEALS and all our military members. I am voting for Andrew Breitbart. I am voting for Israel. I am voting for free enterprise and entrepreneurship. I am voting for the coal miners. I am voting for energy independence. I am voting for states’ rights. I am voting for tax breaks. I am voting for smaller government. I am voting for freedom of religion and freedom of education. I am voting for space exploration. I am voting for national security. I am voting for reduction of the debt and deficit. I am voting for balanced budgets. I am voting for repeal of ObamaCare. I am voting to restore the Democratic Party to sanity and moderation.
I AM VOTING FOR MITT ROMNEY AND PAUL RYAN.
The Quiet Rebellion
As Michael Barone says in his “Going Out on a Limb Prediction,”it’s about fundamentals:
Fundamentals usually prevail in American elections. That’s bad news for Barack Obama. True, Americans want to think well of their presidents and many think it would be bad if Americans were perceived as rejecting the first black president.
But it’s also true that most voters oppose Obama’s major policies and consider unsatisfactory the very sluggish economic recovery — Friday’s jobs report showed an unemployment uptick.
In other words, it’s still the economy, Stupid.
But, this time, it’s also more than the economy. It’s a raging if under-reported rebellion against a radical agenda that began with the stealth ObamaCare vote and gained steam as the debt and deficit soared, as jobs disappeared, as Obama’s promises for unity and bi-partisanship and lowering seas evaporated . The rebellion led to the creation of the Tea Party and the historic nationwide upsets in 2010.
The rebellion has been building and on Tuesday, the silent majority will once again roar. If you pay attention to the fundamentals, if you can see the forest through the slobbering trees of the Mainstream Media, if you dig deep beneath the headlines, you will find the data that supports the predictions of Michael Barone, Jay Cost, and Karl Rove. UPDATE — and George Will.
Here’s how I see just a bit of Mitt Romney’s winning coalition:
Cuban Americans: The Miami Herald reports that Obama’s lead among Florida hispanics has shrunk to only 4 points, thanks to Cuban Americans, whose “unrivaled intensity for the Republican ticket…could help keep Obama from a second Florida win — and therefore a second-term in the White House.”
White Catholics: John McCain won this group by 5 points in 2008. According to a Pew poll released this week, Mitt Romney is winning this group by 14 points.
Evangelicals: According to the WSJ, more than 350,000 evangelicals in Ohio stayed home in 2008 rather than vote for McCain. Today, they are surging for Mitt Romney, supporting him by over 70%.
Suburbanites: According to Pew, Obama won this sub-set of voters by 20 points in 2008. Today Romney is winning the suburban vote by 19 points. That’s a 39-point swing away from Obama for suburban voters.
Independents: Poll after poll shows Romney winning independents by 5 to 10 points or more. Obama won 52% of independents in 2008. Jay Cost explains why indies will determine the winner of Election 2012:
…A nominal 3 to 4 point Democratic identification edge over the GOP will shrink to 1 or 2 points, meaning that independents will determine the outcome, just as they have basically for the last 32 years.
White voters overall: In 2008, Obama won approximately 43% of the white vote. Pew’s most recent poll says that Obama’s support among whites in 2012 is down to 37% — a 7% loss. (Romney is winning 57% of the white vote). The Atlanta Black Star explains Obama’s drop in supprt among white voters:
Michael Dimock, Pew’s associate director for research, said that white voters without college degrees, who tend to have lower incomes and be more likely to be suffering from sluggish economic growth, accounted for most of Obama’s falloff in the poll.
The economy, Stupid.
In coal country, the rebellion against President “You Didn’t Build That” is already evident. According to a tweet by @redistrict, the only Virginia county as of yesterday, Nov. 2, to out-perform early vote returns from 2008 is Buchanan County, the heart of Virginia’s coal industry. In October, The Ronoake Times reported:
“The thoughts among my co-workers is there is a singular person to blame, and that is the president of the United States,” said Jeremiah Heaton, a twice-unsuccessful 9th District congressional candidate who works in a mine in Raven.
Heaton ran as an independent two years ago in the 9th District race that also included Democratic incumbent Rick Boucher and Republican Morgan Griffith. Ultimately, Griffith leveraged more than $1 million spent by outside groups to successfully convince voters that “Boucher Betrayed Coal” — as signs put it — and unseat the 28-year incumbent.
Now, Republicans have taken the lessons of that 2010 midterm race and are applying them to this year’s elections for president and the U.S. Senate.
They’ve been backed by contributions from the coal industry that have gone overwhelmingly to Republicans. According to the Center for Responsive Politics, coal-related donors have given $10.3 million, with 89 percent of that going to GOP candidates and causes.
In Pennsylvania, Obama’s “War on Coal” combined with Romney’s growing support from suburbanites may turn the state red for the first time in 20 years. Even the New York Times sees it:
There is a tangible sense — seen in Romney yard signs on the expansive lawns of homes in the well-heeled suburbs, and heard in the excited voices of Republican mothers who make phone calls to voters in their spare time — that the race is tilting toward Mr. Romney. “
The Romney campaign unleashed a spending blitz in Pennsylvania during the last week of the campaign, including two commercials tailored to angry coal miners. Here’s one of them:
Fundamentally the American people have rejected the type of “change” Barack Obama has tried to inflict upon our society and the world. As a nation, we uniquely embrace the concept of self-determination and free enterprise, and we want a leader who supports capitalism. We want a leader who encourages individual initiative, who embraces the possibility of “I built that!” We want a leader who understands American exceptionalism and defends it worldwide.
The guy who has become the symbol of this quiet rebellion states it plainly, and I approve of his message:
Courtesy of the brilliant Michael Ramirez
If you only watch one thing today, watch this:
Utilizing Karl Rove‘s adage that you attack your opponent’s strengths not their weaknesses, Romney went up on Saturday with an ad in Ohio about the automobile industry.
The importance of this is ad is that it targets blue collar workers and union members, shoring up Romney’s support with the white working class in Ohio. The importance also is Romney has movement and momentum in Ohio 9 days out and is now tied in recent polls with Obama. On Sunday, Ohio Governor John Kasich said on “Meet the Press”:
I believe right now we are currently ahead. Internals show us currently ahead. I honestly think that Romney is going to carry Ohio. And you know I haven’t been saying this. I now believe its going to happen
National Review‘s Josh Jordon, superb poll analyst who tweets as @NumbersMuncher said that “I kind of hate talk of internals, but Kasich &Co haven’t used the word ‘ahead’ for internals in Ohio. Always say ‘tied.’Could be significant.”
Kasich isn’t just talking, he’s describing real momentum in Ohio. Because state polls are a lagging indicator, there’s a very real possibility that Romney will start polling ahead of Obama in Ohio in the next few days. Romney is nowing leading in Ohio by two points, according to Rasmussen Reports. Further, Karl Rove states today that Romney has the momentum.